Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.166869 0.193409 0.222810 0.257801 0.298322 0.343784 0.398689
2025-07-13 0.129461 0.166148 0.211078 0.270176 0.345935 0.439898 0.565487
2025-07-20 0.108637 0.149581 0.203318 0.279063 0.383232 0.521716 0.720293
2025-07-27 0.094398 0.137647 0.197703 0.287272 0.417733 0.601290 0.880084
2025-08-03 0.082191 0.125941 0.189730 0.289634 0.442568 0.668577 1.029414
2025-08-10 0.071209 0.114054 0.179303 0.286059 0.456912 0.720741 1.161205
2025-08-17 0.061109 0.101904 0.166546 0.276608 0.460039 0.754869 1.267576
2025-08-24 0.055928 0.096824 0.164058 0.282850 0.488438 0.831422 1.450947
2025-08-31 0.050606 0.090728 0.158997 0.283865 0.507714 0.894397 1.618102
2025-09-07 0.046516 0.086189 0.155918 0.287687 0.531887 0.967817 1.811511
2025-09-14 0.041562 0.079444 0.148098 0.281899 0.537780 1.008980 1.950340
2025-09-21 0.037735 0.074303 0.142539 0.279500 0.549404 1.061395 2.115742
2025-09-28 0.034732 0.070458 0.139104 0.281021 0.569238 1.132499 2.328303
2025-10-05 0.033379 0.069717 0.141573 0.294493 0.614359 1.258002 2.665925
2025-10-12 0.031728 0.068151 0.142185 0.304184 0.652784 1.374209 2.998265
2025-10-19 0.030147 0.066527 0.142461 0.313136 0.690586 1.493146 3.350659
2025-10-26 0.028138 0.063726 0.139935 0.315711 0.714827 1.585892 3.656625
2025-11-02 0.025795 0.059905 0.134771 0.311813 0.724166 1.647087 3.898550
2025-11-09 0.023211 0.055224 0.127183 0.301506 0.717640 1.671995 4.059095
2025-11-16 0.022114 0.053883 0.126981 0.308314 0.751773 1.793447 4.463827
2025-11-23 0.020723 0.051671 0.124516 0.309420 0.772345 1.885302 4.807346
2025-11-30 0.019644 0.050094 0.123371 0.313588 0.800836 1.999130 5.219395
2025-12-07 0.018042 0.047021 0.118267 0.307276 0.802282 2.046697 5.467322